19Feb

Natural Gas Elliott Wave Analysis & Price Forecast – Technical Chart Analysis, Market Trends and Trading Strategy Insights

Natural Gas Elliott Wave Analysis 

Since shifting to the March 2024 contract, natural gas futures have surged over 29%, nearing full recovery from the previous sell-off. On a broader scale, this suggests the commodity may extend its bullish corrective sequence from February 2024.

Natural Gas: Daily Chart Analysis

On the daily chart, natural gas remains in a corrective phase that began in February 2024. This level marked the conclusion of a bearish impulse sequence initiated in August 2022, when the commodity traded at $10. Currently, the corrective sequence is shaping into a double zigzag pattern.

  • Wave (W) concluded at its January 2025 peak, leading to a price drop that completed wave (X).
  • Wave (Y) began in the final days of January and is projected to advance toward the $5.7-$6.8 range.

Thus, in the short term, an upside continuation remains the favored outlook. However, unless the wave (W) peak is surpassed, traders should remain cautious about the possibility of a lower wave (X) forming within the double zigzag structure.

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Natural Gas: H4 Chart Analysis

On the H4 chart, natural gas prices are currently in wave A of (Y), forming an impulse wave pattern.

  • Following wave A, a bullish reaction is expected from the wave B pullback.
  • However, based on the current price action, wave A may still extend higher before wave B corrects the movement.

Traders should monitor these key levels as natural gas remains in a bullish corrective phase with potential upward momentum in the coming sessions.

Technical Analyst: Sanmi Adeagbo

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