13Dec

WTI Elliott Wave Analysis Revealing Crude Oil Price Trends, Key Support Levels, Bearish Breakouts, and Technical Outlook

WTI Crude Oil Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

Crude oil prices are trending sideways, holding below $73 as momentum weakens. A bearish breakout seems more likely, targeting levels around $60. However, the price must first break through the $64-62 support zone, which could provide temporary resistance to the decline.

WTI Crude Oil Commodity Daily Chart Analysis

From a long-term perspective, WTI crude oil prices are correcting the impulsive rally observed between April 2020 and March 2022, when prices surged close to $131. The ongoing decline from March 2022 appears to be forming a double-zigzag corrective pattern.

  • Wave ((W)) completed at $63.5 in May 2023 with a triple zigzag formation.

  • A subsequent sideways triangle structure marked the end of wave ((X)) at $84.5 in July 2024.

The decline from $84.5 (July 2024) is currently evolving into wave ((Y)), although this wave remains in its early stages. The price finalized wave W of (W) of ((Y)) in September 2024, followed by wave Y of (W) in October 2024. The ongoing wave Y of (W) is incomplete, with projections suggesting a potential drop to the $61-57 range.

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WTI Crude Oil Commodity H4 Chart Analysis

On the H4 timeframe, WTI crude is presently in wave (b) of ((y)) of Y, provided the $72.96 level holds. A break below $72.76, however, could signal the formation of a new potential top for wave ((x)), assuming the price remains below the invalidation level of $78.45. As long as WTI stays beneath $78.45, the probability of further downside remains higher than that of a bullish reversal.

Technical Analyst: Sanmi Adeagbo

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