Gold XAUUSD Commodity Elliott Wave Analysis
Gold Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Gold has maintained its upward momentum after breaking out of a two-month consolidation, positioning itself to challenge new all-time highs. The bullish sentiment remains strong across all time frames, presenting traders with opportunities to buy on dips in anticipation of a sustained rally.
Daily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, Gold has completed the supercycle wave (IV) within the long-term bullish trend that started in December 2015. This completion has set the stage for a new impulse wave (V). Within wave (V), waves I and II were completed in May and October 2023, respectively. Currently, Gold is advancing in wave (3) of 3 (circled) of III, which has the potential to extend beyond the 2500 level before concluding. The consolidation phase between April 12th and June 26th corresponds to wave 4 of (3). The ongoing upward movement is part of wave 5 of (3), which is expected to surpass previous highs and establish new records. The bullish outlook remains strong, offering traders opportunities to enter positions during pullbacks.
H4 Chart Analysis
The H4 chart offers a detailed view of the sub-waves within wave 5 of (3). The price completed wave i (circled) of 5 on July 17th and is currently in a pullback for wave ii (circled) of 5. This pullback could form a double zigzag pattern within the 2346-2296 Fibonacci retracement zone, as long as it stays above the 2294 invalidation level. Alternatively, if wave ii (circled) has already bottomed at the low of July 25th, the current recovery should gain momentum and break through the July 2nd high, continuing the advance into wave iii of 5. In both scenarios, the upside is favored as long as the price remains above 2294.
Conclusion
Gold continues to demonstrate strong bullish momentum, with the potential for further gains and new all-time highs. Traders should monitor for opportunities to enter on pullbacks, particularly around the key support levels within the 2346-2296 zone. The overall outlook remains positive, with the potential for significant upward movement in the coming weeks.
Technical Analyst: Sanmi Adeagbo
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