20Mar

SPDR Select Sector Fund ETF (XLF) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis: Expect a Bullish Continuation After a Potential Pullback

SPDR Select Sector Fund ETF (XLF) – TradingLounge Daily Chart

SPDR Select Sector Fund ETF (XLF) Daily Chart Analysis

SPDR Select Sector Fund ETF (XLF) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis 

Function: Major Trend

Mode: Motive

Structure: Impulse Wave

Position: Wave 5 Navy

Direction: Uptrend

Details:

  • The 4th wave found support at $47.22, forming a flat correction pattern.
  • The ongoing rally is in its early stages and aims to fully retrace Wave 4 within a five-wave upward structure.

Minimum target: $54.00, aligning with the upper boundary of Elliott’s final channel.

Invalidation Level: $47.22—a drop below this level would nullify the current wave count.

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SPDR Select Sector Fund ETF (XLF) – TradingLounge 4-Hour Chart Analysis

SPDR Select Sector Fund ETF (XLF) 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Function: Major Trend

Mode: Motive

Structure: Impulse

Position: Wave 5 Navy

Direction: Uptrend

Details:

  • Wave 4 has successfully ended within the projected KTL time range, confirming the Elliott wave count.
  • The ongoing rally in Wave 5 signals a potential strong buying opportunity.
  • A temporary pullback (throwback) is likely before the uptrend resumes, offering an optimal entry point.
  • The $52.635 high is expected to be surpassed in the current wave formation.

Key Level: $48.18—watch this level for potential support.

Invalidation Level: $47.23—a decline below this mark would negate the bullish structure.

Technical Analyst: Siinom

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See Previous: SPDR Select Sector Fund ETF – XLF Elliott Wave Technical Analysis

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Conclusion

  • The 4th wave correction in XLF has been completed, confirming a wave cycle reset.
  • The current rally is part of the 5th wave, reinforcing the strong bullish outlook.
  • A pullback within the fifth-wave substructure is possible before a significant rally unfolds.
  • This bullish setup presents a favourable long-position opportunity for ETF traders.
  • Traders should adhere to Elliott Wave principles and closely monitor invalidation levels to manage risk effectively.

This analysis provides a technical roadmap for navigating XLF's wave cycle while maintaining optimal risk-reward strategies.

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